Sunday, December 6, 2020

The World Tomorow ....as it began!

 

  

On October 22nd, thirty-two nations signed the historic Geneva Consensus Declaration, including the co-sponsoring nations, the United States, Brazil, Hungary, Indonesia, and Uganda. However, Canada was not among the signatories.

 

On October 22nd, thirty-two nations signed the historic Geneva Consensus Declaration, including the co-sponsoring nations, the United States, Brazil, Hungary, Indonesia, and Uganda. However, Canada was not among the signatories.

 

Please SIGN this joint petition, from LifeSite and Campaign Life Coalition, urging Canada to ratify the Geneva Consensus Declaration, which will put Canada at the forefront in the fight to protect genuine human rights.

The Geneva Consensus Declaration takes a firm stance against invented human rights by saying, "there is no international right to abortion, nor any international obligation on the part of States to finance or facilitate abortion."

The Geneva Consensus Declaration further reaffirms:

  • That "protecting the right to life" is an "essential priority."
  • The "inherent 'dignity and worth of the human person'" and that "'every human has the inherent right to life.'"
  • That "'the family is the natural and fundamental group unit of society and is entitled to protection by society and state,'" as the Declaration on the Rights of the Child stated.

Please SIGN and SHARE this urgent petition to Canadian MPs, asking them to restore Canada's reputation as a world leader in human rights, and sign the Geneva Consensus Declaration.

In the past, Canada had a reputation for supporting conventions and declarations that promote fundamental and universal principles, including the right to life and the centrality of the natural family in society.

To that end, Canada signed declarations and conventions supporting the child and the natural family, like the Declaration on the Rights of the Child, in 1959, and the Convention on the Rights of the Child, in 1990.

However, in recent years, Canada has deviated from its commitments and its historic role in advancing genuine human rights.

Instead, Canada has pushed a marginal agenda focused on newly-invented “rights” that are neither based in natural law nor in any international treaty. Among these are a false right to abortion, a false right to choose one’s gender, and a false right to sexual pleasure for children.

Indeed, Canada has become a bully on the world stage, imposing its agenda on traditional peoples in developing nations, promoting abortion, gender theory, and radical sex education.

It is time for Canada to stand up for genuine human rights like it once did, especially the right to life, and proclaim that the nuclear family is the basis of society.

By ratifying the Geneva Consensus Declaration, Canada would join other nations in upholding these very things, and would recommit itself to safeguarding the rights and principles that it formerly promoted and defended.

Please SIGN this petition calling on the Members of Parliament to sign the Geneva Consensus Declaration.

FOR MORE INFORMATION:

Information about the Geneva Consensus Declaration - https://www.hhs.gov/about/agencies/oga/global-health-diplomacy/protecting-life-global-health-policy/geneva-declaration.html

The text of the Geneva Consensus Declaration - https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/geneva-consensus-declaration-english.pdf

CLC article, 'Canada Must Join the Geneva Consensus Declaration' - https://www.campaignlifecoalition.com/clc-blog/id/118/title/canada-must-join-the-geneva-consensus

LifeSite article, '32 nations, including US, declare ‘no international right to abortion’ at UN' - https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/32-nations-including-us-declare-no-international-right-to-abortion-at-un

 

Friday, December 4, 2020

BRIAN ROSE: What Is 'QALY' & Why You Need To Know More About It - Profes...

note:


TRANSCRIPT 
so i appreciate that let me move forward
00:01
to my second point
00:03
and uh i was really honored yesterday to
00:05
have an incredible guest on the show
00:07
and uh this guest his name is professor
00:09
david miles
00:11
he is a professor at imperial college
00:14
london he's a former member of bank of
00:16
england's monetary policy committee all
00:18
right now look i spent 20 years in
00:20
finance
00:21
monetary policy is how governments
00:24
choose
00:24
short-term interest rates and it
00:26
basically controls the economy
00:28
it's one of the most powerful positions
00:29
in government some would argue in
00:31
america
00:32
it's the decision the fed makes it's
00:34
more powerful than what the president
00:35
can decide
00:36
so this man is high ranking he's also
00:39
former chief economist for morgan
00:40
stanley and merrill lynch all right
00:42
former member of the financial services
00:44
authority which polices all the bankers
00:45
here
00:46
and i sat down with professor david
00:48
miles yesterday and we had a discussion
00:49
and the professor said this
00:51
quote uh the three-month lockdown
00:55
earlier this year came
00:56
at an extremely high price relative to
00:59
the health benefits
01:00
and he went on to say that in another
01:03
extremely costly lockdown
01:06
he believes that the benefits may not
01:08
exceed the costs
01:10
we went on further and we concluded that
01:13
we
01:13
cannot survive past 30 days and he
01:16
briefly said this and i'm going to play
01:17
a video of him shortly
01:19
if this lockdown lasts for any longer
01:21
than 30 days and honestly i think he was
01:23
being generous at 30 days
01:25
i think he really wanted to say more
01:26
like two weeks he said literally we
01:28
won't survive
01:29
and he's not talking about surviving the
01:31
disease he's talking about surviving
01:35
as as a people we will no longer
01:38
have the money to even pay for basic
01:41
services
01:42
we will no longer have the funds to keep
01:44
this country going we won't be able to
01:46
pay for our health services
01:48
this is how dire these decisions are
01:50
being made and that's why i want to go
01:52
in deeper on this
01:53
but he also made a really interesting
01:55
point and he talked about something
01:57
called
01:57
quali and this is something that's not
01:59
being talked about and we need to talk
02:01
about it right now
02:02
it's called the quality adjusted life
02:04
year
02:05
quali and this is the measure that the
02:08
nhs
02:08
actually uses to evaluate whether a
02:11
procedure needs to take place on a
02:13
patient in the national health service
02:14
and this is how it works they look at a
02:17
patient and they look at a procedure
02:20
if the procedure can increase the
02:21
patient's lifespan by one year
02:24
then they agree to do that procedure
02:26
only if it costs
02:27
30 000 pounds or less let me repeat that
02:31
say there's a cancer surgery that
02:32
they're about to do or a cancer
02:34
treatment
02:35
if it costs more than thirty thousand
02:37
pounds and it doesn't extend their life
02:39
by more than one year
02:40
they say no we're not going to do the
02:43
procedure
02:43
now you might say well that's really
02:45
callous they should do anything to save
02:46
their life but
02:47
what if that procedure cost three
02:48
million pounds or 300 million pounds or
02:51
3 billion pounds at some point
02:53
it's not cost effective to have that
02:54
procedure for everyone
02:56
and the professor went on to say brian
02:58
our our health budget would be 98
03:00
of gdp if we spent every dollar to save
03:03
every life so at some point we have to
03:05
make a decision
03:06
and these decisions are made every every
03:08
day in our lives the speed limit
03:10
is at i think 70 miles per hour in
03:12
britain because that's the optimal
03:14
uh limit to make sure transportation
03:16
moves and we minimize the loss of life
03:19
if we wanted to eliminate the loss of
03:21
life we would make the speed limit five
03:22
miles an hour so we would all go so slow
03:24
there would be no traffic accidents
03:26
so every day we make decisions that are
03:29
are somewhere in between optimizing for
03:32
loss of life and the economic benefits
03:34
and he went deeper on this quality
03:36
adjusted life here
03:37
and he said that if you save someone
03:39
from covid they're usually in their 80s
03:42
he said on on a maximum scale they had
03:45
ten years
03:46
of expected life left it's probably more
03:48
like five he said if you multiply that
03:50
times thirty thousand when you save a
03:52
life it's
03:52
it's if you want to quantify it it's
03:54
three hundred thousand pounds
03:56
to save that life and uh professor miles
03:59
went in
04:00
and said if you look at that 300 000
04:03
pound figure
04:04
and you multiply it by the potential
04:06
1000 people
04:08
that are gonna die per day according to
04:10
some of these models or even two or
04:11
three thousand
04:12
when you compare that to the 1.8 billion
04:16
pounds
04:16
of loss to the economy every single day
04:19
you start to really see
04:20
a clear cost benefit analysis and you
04:24
start to really understand
04:25
that eliminating the virus
04:29
if you try to do that we will not
04:30
survive because we cannot afford to look
04:33
at it that way
04:34
again we need to think about control
04:36
versus elimination
04:38
and we need to find a way to live with
04:40
this virus
04:41
there is no way to eliminate it but
04:43
right now our government has sold you an
04:45
agenda that this is the way to eliminate
04:46
this virus
04:47
and we are literally crushing our
04:50
economy
04:51
our future our livelihoods on the back
04:54
of trying to save
04:55
a small portion of lives that when you
04:57
quantify it does not justify the loss
05:00
from this lockdown i can't put it any
05:02
clearly and again
05:04
every loss of life needs to be minimized
05:06
but this is a disproportionate response
05:08
to the virus
05:09
and it couldn't be made any clearer than
05:12
by this quality score and here's
05:13
a short video of me talking to professor
05:16
miles about this concept and again
05:18
he's very clear on the cost-benefit
05:20
analysis and this is the conversation no
05:22
one's having
05:23
we need to talk about it because it's a
05:25
real reason why we shouldn't be locked
05:26
down right now
05:28
here is professor miles if i was maybe
05:30
just
05:31
just to generalize some of the
05:33
assumptions you made about that model
05:35
i think you said if you save a life
05:37
roughly uh
05:39
10 years of life you might save for that
05:41
person times the 30 000 i guess that's
05:43
300 000
05:44
pounds you would potentially
05:47
uh save with each life is that a rough
05:50
idea
05:53
um yes in a way in a way that's right so
05:56
i mean if if you looked at the average
05:59
age
06:00
of people who you know tragically have
06:01
died with covid
06:03
it's somewhere in the sort of low 80s
06:06
um if you asked what was the life
06:09
expectancy of people
06:11
of that typical age at best probably it
06:14
was about 10 years
06:16
probably actually a little bit less
06:17
given that most of the people who've
06:19
died of that age with kobet had related
06:21
health problems
06:23
um so if you then said well okay suppose
06:25
you apply that national health service
06:27
rule
06:30
how many resources using the nhs rule
06:34
would you want to apply to saving on
06:37
average those kind of lives and the
06:38
answer would be as you say you know
06:40
three or four hundred thousand pounds
06:42
now i stress again this looks like a
06:44
very macabre thing
06:45
to do it looks like the kind of thing a
06:47
kind of heartless economist would do
06:50
attaching money values to lives saved
06:53
but the reality is that that's how
06:56
decisions are made in public health
06:58
systems in pretty much every country in
07:00
the world and in other areas where
07:02
governments have to make rules
07:04
how fast can people drive on our roads
07:07
for example so we're simply applying
07:08
that kind of rule
07:10
and i think had that analysis said well
07:13
it was a close run thing whether the
07:15
lockdown for three months
07:17
was sensible or not i think had to be
07:20
much more open-minded about it but i
07:22
think as it turned out the numbers
07:24
suggested
07:25
that the costs were so much higher
07:29
than the 30 000 pound per
07:32
quali rule would have justified
07:36
that it seemed to me um you'd have to go
07:39
way beyond that national health service
07:41
rule to have justified
07:44
restrictions blanket restrictions kept
07:46
in place for as long as we did
07:47
back in the spring into the summer here
07:49
in the uk
07:50
yeah i think you're right because i
07:52
think the maximum uh deaths
07:54
was back in april i think it was 1200 or
07:57
in one day so if you took that number of
08:00
300 000 which is probably being generous
08:02
for 10 years of life
08:04
and you do the math compared to the gdp
08:06
loss per day which i heard now is about
08:08
1.8 billion in gdp loss per day on
08:10
lockdown maybe i'm off
08:12
but it looks to be orders of magnitude
08:14
uh
08:15
cost-benefit analysis and i know this is
08:18
kind of a macabre topic but like you
08:20
said we make these decisions every day
08:21
in our policy and
08:22
like you said the speed limits the nhs
08:25
so it's something we have to face
08:27
at some point like you said in an
08:28
extended lockdown and say this
08:30
actually just doesn't make sense and if
08:32
we continue this we'll quite literally
08:34
just bankrupt the nation
08:37
well i think i think you know continuing
08:40
to have blanket
08:41
lockdowns switched on for a few months
08:45
then maybe off for a month or so then
08:46
switch them back on
08:48
um is so costly that my guess is that
08:52
that would not pass any sensible cost
08:54
benefit analysis
08:56
again to stress you know that's not the
08:58
current government strategy
08:59
you know we're told that this is going
09:01
to be a four week lock down hopefully it
09:03
will succeed in bringing the infection
09:04
rates down very rapidly
09:06
take off the table much of the risk of
09:08
hospitals being um overwhelmed
09:11
and that that might well be a sensible
09:13
strategy i think what wouldn't be though
09:15
is if we kept getting back into this
09:17
situation
09:18
you know two months on one month off two
09:22
months on one months off
09:23
i think that would be pretty disastrous